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Statistical Climate Reconstruction and Climate Change Prediction
12 November 2008 14:00 - 17:30 Tea and Coffee available from 3pm
University of Bath, room 3W 4.7

The meeting is about recent research in Statistical Climate Reconstruction, climate sensitivity and Climate Change Prediction.

Registration is required, please contact the meeting organiser listed below for further details.

There is no charge for this event.

Anthropogenic climate change: Using the past to learn about the future
GABI HEGERL, (University of Edinburgh)
Estimates of the probability density function of climate sensitivity can be derived from temperature records over the 20th century and the last millennium. This information can then be used towards predictions of future changes. Similarly, observed changes in extreme temperature and precipitation can be used to evaluate climate model simulations.

Statistical climate reconstruction using a GCM
JONTY ROUGIER( University of Bristol)
We use a general circulation model (GCM) to reconstruct North American climate 6ka BP, in the mid-Holocene. The model is calibrated to reconstructed temperature where we have it, and provides a physically consistent method for extrapolating the reconstruction to other spatial locations, and other climate variables such as precipitation and GDD5. This work is part of the PalaeoQUMP project.

TBA
TBA


Meeting Contact: Nicole Augustin (n.h.augustin@bath.ac.uk) Tel:01225 386607
Organising Group(s): General Applications Section, Environmental Statistics Section and the Avon local group

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